Mexico is reviewing its policy of sending oil to Cuba amid fears of U.S. retaliation. Sources say the government may stop, cut or maintain current levels of crude and refined fuel shipments, which total about 17,200 barrels a day in 2025. Mexico has become the island’s sole major supplier after Venezuela’s supply was halted in December. U.S. President Donald Trump has warned that no oil or money will be sent to Cuba and has threatened possible military action, while Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum insists the deliveries are humanitarian aid under long‑term contracts. Mexico is also seeking to renegotiate the USMCA trade pact and demonstrate its fight against cartel influence. A reduction in Cuban imports would risk an energy collapse and could trigger mass migration to Mexico. U.S. drones of the MQ‑4C Triton type have been observed over the Gulf of Mexico, allegedly monitoring oil routes. The situation reflects a mix of diplomatic pressure, economic dependency and potential military escalation.

Original article can be found here.